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2024-12-13 23:03:44

1. Summary of market trends2. Summary of bullish factors-This week, the market trend was complicated. It was stimulated by the high-level speech to stabilize the stock market and the property market, but then it fluctuated downwards. This is mainly due to the combination of factors such as capital flight, suppression of short-selling power, investor's emotional instability, greater resistance to market pressure and poor profit-making effect of hot-spot rotation.


-In the short term, there are many bullish factors that may stimulate the market to stabilize and rebound or even break through emotional highs. In terms of monetary policy, the expectation of continued easing is strong, and the central bank may continue to inject medium and long-term liquidity. In terms of foreign investment, the new regulations lower the threshold for foreign investment and are expected to attract foreign capital inflows. In terms of macro-policies, the upcoming Central Economic Work Conference is expected to define a more positive and promising policy direction. In terms of the international environment, the expected interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve will also help to enhance the market risk appetite and form a positive for A shares.-This week, the market trend was complicated. It was stimulated by the high-level speech to stabilize the stock market and the property market, but then it fluctuated downwards. This is mainly due to the combination of factors such as capital flight, suppression of short-selling power, investor's emotional instability, greater resistance to market pressure and poor profit-making effect of hot-spot rotation.-For the next week's market trend, from a technical point of view, facing the test of pressure level, the breakthrough is expected to expand the space upwards, otherwise it may continue to fluctuate and adjust; On the capital side, there are opportunities to wait and see more funds and long-term funds entering the market; The emotional side may be improved by positive signals; The policy side is expected to provide support with the implementation of follow-up policies.


2. Summary of bullish factors-In the short term, there are many bullish factors that may stimulate the market to stabilize and rebound or even break through emotional highs. In terms of monetary policy, the expectation of continued easing is strong, and the central bank may continue to inject medium and long-term liquidity. In terms of foreign investment, the new regulations lower the threshold for foreign investment and are expected to attract foreign capital inflows. In terms of macro-policies, the upcoming Central Economic Work Conference is expected to define a more positive and promising policy direction. In terms of the international environment, the expected interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve will also help to enhance the market risk appetite and form a positive for A shares.-For the next week's market trend, from a technical point of view, facing the test of pressure level, the breakthrough is expected to expand the space upwards, otherwise it may continue to fluctuate and adjust; On the capital side, there are opportunities to wait and see more funds and long-term funds entering the market; The emotional side may be improved by positive signals; The policy side is expected to provide support with the implementation of follow-up policies.

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